Here is a link to my Tuesday column predicting a Broncos’ win in the Super Bowl. Please don’t bet money on my prediction as I’m usually wrong. The full text appears below:

Football is defunct.

Football expired around here Jan. 19 when Richard Sherman tipped a bad Colin Kaepernick pass to Malcolm Smith, and the Seahawks beat the 49ers 23-17 in the NFC championship game, the Seahawks going to that cold-weather carnival in New Jersey, the 49ers going home.

But one matter looms before we pack up the season. We address the remaining matter as a question: Who will win the Super Bowl, known as the Bud Bowl — not for beer, but for cannabis, the two contending states, Colorado and Washington being bullish on weed?

It says here Denver wins.

It’s exciting when the No. 1 defense (Seahawks) faces the No. 1 offense (Broncos). And the best defense often smacks around the best offense like a bully smacking around a 90-pound weakling. Life is frustrating that way. Life is frustrating in many ways.

It’s just this particular No. 1 offense is one heck of an offense. It is a numbers-producing machine. It is an abacus. It is doubtful, almost impossible, for the Seahawks’ offense to keep pace with Peyton Manning and his guys. So, we’re really talking about things being overwhelming, about the Broncos overwhelming the gritty, grim northern birds.

Of course, the issue is complicated. We are aware of the complications.

Some say Manning won’t pass well in the gray cold of that big monster stadium close by the Hudson River. His arm isn’t the strongest anymore.

Maybe he won’t pass well — although it says here he will pass well. But get this. The Seahawks aren’t exactly hotsy-totsy away from the noise and tumult of their place.

There are other issues with Manning, one big issue in particular. He is a great numbers producer — a human abacus, a computer, for heaven’s sake. But he hasn’t been so great in the postseason. That is the knock against him, the subtext. Something about not living up to his own standard when all the chips are in. It is the dark cloud on his career and you might say he is playing this game for his standing in history, for his place among the immortals.

It says here he wins the game, certifies his future forever and ever and enters the Pantheon with Joe Montana and Johnny Unitas and the rest.

Other things to consider when doping out this Super Bowl:

How will Seattle’s secondary match up against Denver’s wide receivers?

We know Seattle’s secondary is good. We know about Richard Sherman and we forgive him — we have a weakness for players from Stanford and Cal. We wish him well. It’s just that Denver has the best wide receivers in the business.

Demaryius Thomas is a top-three wideout. He is Michael Crabtree with speed. Wes Welker is a phenomenon and he’s in Bill Belichick’s head big time. Good for you, Wes. Eric Decker is big and hard to handle, and so is tight end Julius Thomas. The whole group is hard to handle. Big edge to Denver.

How will Seattle’s pass rush do against Denver’s tackles?

Actually, it will do pretty well. It is a strong unit. The Broncos’ entire pass game is predicated on Manning getting rid of the ball fast. It’s all about timing. If Seattle puts pressure on him, hits him, Manning could have trouble. Edge to Seattle.

How will Marshawn Lynch run against Denver’s front seven?

Actually, he will run pretty well. He had 109 yards against the 49ers in the championship game. The 49ers have a better front seven than Denver. Edge to Seattle.

Can the Seahawks’ wide receivers emerge from their funk? There’s another way of phrasing this. Can Seattle produce an offense that doesn’t depend on quarterback Russell Wilson improvising like a madman?

This is the Seahawks’ offense: Wilson looks downfield for receivers who are not open because the entire world already knows the Seahawks’ playbook and can defend the pass routes no sweat, knew all the Seattle plays about a month ago. After looking downfield at nothing, Wilson starts running away from big guys who want to hit him but are too slow to catch up to him. It’s kind of comical to see this part of the play.

You think Wilson will throw the ball out of bounds. But while he’s running, he stops and sets his feet and throws the ball. It looks like a pure desperation heave. You’re thinking he doesn’t have a prayer. From out of nowhere, he throws a laser on the money to some receiver who, long ago, gave up on the pass play and just started running around, cutting and faking like you did on the playground: “Cut left at the sewer and I’ll throw it to you under the horse chestnut tree.”

Can the Seahawks make an offense that is not pure “recess,” to use Vic Fangio’s quirky but entirely appropriate word?

Well, no they can’t. And what they have won’t be enough. Their offense lacks the discipline, imagination and the sheer variety of many offenses, certainly doesn’t approach Denver’s offense for originality, for the number of options available to the quarterback. Wilson will do his thing, but Seattle will not keep up offensively, cannot keep up offensively. Strictly overwhelmed.

Big edge to Denver. This is the deciding edge.

The Broncos defeat the Seahawks 27-20.

Then the long hibernation.

For more on the world of sports in general and the Bay Area in particular, go to the Cohn Zohn at cohn.blogs.pressdemocrat.com. You can reach Staff Columnist Lowell Cohn at lowell.cohn@pressdemocrat.com.

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  1. Streetglide

    I hope so… but a good whack on Payton and the game could be over. But with any luck, the right tackle will get an opportunity to bury Sherman in the soggy, cold turf…

    January 28th, 2014 6:27 am

  2. Jimmy

    There was a different level of play in the 2 conference championship games. Both the Seahawks and Niners looked much stronger than the finesse Broncos. The Seahawks will smack them around and Manning face won’t be able to get into a rhythm in the cold. I saw the Broncos play in person twice this year and was not impressed. Their explosive receivers fold if jammed off the line. I’m shocked that most people are picking the Broncos. Do people not look at these games?

    January 28th, 2014 9:26 am

  3. Mark M

    I thought we’d get another boxing analogy for this one. I see Seattle’s defense matching up quite well with Denver’s offense. The line of scrimmage jams they put on receivers won’t allow Peyton to get rid of it quickly enough. That spells trouble in a big way and Moreno and that running game isn’t good enough to force Seattle’s respect. I think the Seahawks make Peyton and Co. one dimensional. Seattle offense is limited but Lynch and Wilson can control the ball long enough to limit Manning’s opportunities. Denver’s defense isn’t nearly good enough to really stomp out what Seattle does, despite their lack of explosiveness. I see Seattle doing a slow choke hold on this one and then opening up at the end for a 10 point plus win. NFC West style football is the best in the league now.

    January 28th, 2014 10:13 am

  4. PhD

    Do you think the Broncos would have beaten us too without Bowman Lowell?

    January 28th, 2014 11:55 am

  5. Jones

    Seems to me that if you were going to build a team to beat Manning, the Seahawks would be exactly who you’d end up with.

    January 28th, 2014 12:20 pm

  6. CohnZohn

    PhD, I try not to deal in hypotheticals. I have enough trouble with reality.

    January 28th, 2014 1:02 pm

  7. Stan

    Hearing Gary Radnich say “Peyton Manning is the greatest QB ever” or however he squirms to quantify that reasoning, I see the Seahawks as besting the Bronco’s. I cant believe the 49ers are the third best team. If Seattle can beat SF twice in one season,they must be the best. Denver ? One out of three vs SF maybe.
    And whats wrong with Radnich? He saw Montana. And he always says somebody else is better. Three or four years ago he said “Brett Favre has to be the greatest ever”. Montana must have been just as cool to him as the other team.

    January 28th, 2014 1:49 pm

  8. Brett

    I am thinking just about like you Lowell. I also give the edge to Denver for another reason. Yes, the trick will be to get to Manning. However Manning, as you stated is like a computer when going through his progressions. His three step and pitch is the fastest I have ever seen. To get to him you are going to have to bring a line backer. He will see this everytime and the ball will be gone in a second. A three yard pass is ok because their YAC is great.

    Marshawn will have a good game I think 2 TD’s and 170 yards. They will also get a feild goal and one score from Wilson. That’s 24 points.

    Final score 24 to 35 Denver.

    January 28th, 2014 2:44 pm

  9. Brett

    Jimmy good point. I thought about that too. The unknowns right now is the difference between the AFC vs the NFC toughness on Defence. That could make it a little tighter.

    Will the cold bother Manning? If so tighter yet.

    Could be one for the ages or could be a blow out. Half way through the second quarter should tell us.

    January 28th, 2014 2:49 pm

  10. Jones

    Broncos have put up 26 and 24 points in their 2 playoff games against very soft New England and San Diego defenses. I see no way they can crack that Seattle defense.

    January 28th, 2014 3:17 pm

  11. Dennis

    I agree that the Broncos will beat Seattle. San Francisco almost did in Seattle and their offense is not as good as Denver’s in just about every position. Plus Seattle does not travel well. I look for the Denver to beat them like a drum and I look for Sherman to get his bell rung in the first half, maybe the first quarter.

    I just don’t think Seattle could beat the Niners if they played on neutral turf. Certainly if they played at the Stick the Niners would be going to the Super Bowl and would probably win.

    January 28th, 2014 5:19 pm

  12. Dr. Feelgood

    Not deal in hypotheticals? Really?

    January 28th, 2014 5:23 pm

  13. k.g.

    Idk…just have this funny feeling that the Legion of Boom will pull a win out for Super Bowl 48.

    January 28th, 2014 10:21 pm

  14. Streetglide

    Pete-the-Cheat will sacrifice a player who will do his best to knock Peyton out of the game. You can count on that…

    January 29th, 2014 12:44 pm

  15. Chris

    Lowell, you give a big edge to Denvery, yet predict that the Broncos will win by 7 points. If the game remains that close, it would truly benefit the Seahawks who offensively and defensively seem to get stronger minute after minute.

    I sure hope Denver does win against the Seahawks. I have the Broncos winning by two touchdowns, as they will need a big enough initial lead to hang on for a win.

    January 29th, 2014 4:44 pm

  16. chris

    thats funny Lowell…….before I checked your score for the game I figured the same the exact same score you do but the Seahawks win it 27-20. Just feels like they’re destined to win this year more than Denver. their defense played so well in the 2nd half of the Niner game I think they’ll carry that momentum into the Super Bowl.

    January 29th, 2014 6:11 pm

  17. Patrick Dawson

    Great pick Mr. I Don’t Deal in Hypotheticals!!!

    February 2nd, 2014 5:18 pm

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