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I think you are overlooking the biggest component of this game…the defenses. The chiefs have a bend but don’t break defense, its why they have given up yards upon yards, but in the 20s, they are very hard to score on. Also, the Chiefs defense is very opportunistic, they take the ball away and they score. They should have both Dee Ford and Justin Houston healthy, they’ll get after Carr every single play. But the Raiders defense, its porous. They allow more yards than the Chiefs, especially in the run game (a strength for KC), but the Chiefs are a good scoring defense, allowing the 9th least amount of points whereas the Raiders allow the 10th most points a game. The KC defense might let Oak move up and down the field on them on a few drives, but those will end in Sebas field goals, 3 long drives netting but 9 points.
KC fans should always be fearful of a high scoring offense, but the way they have handled Oakland, the way Alex Smith has dominated Oakland in his KC career, his career in SF as well, He is 8-1 against Oakland, throwing 18 tds to 3 ints, throwing for 1900 yards (~210 yards a game), rushing for 160 yards (~20 yards a game) and being sacked only 6 times. It doesn’t bode well for Oakland.
These are legitimate worries. I am hoping to see a defensive effort more in line with what happened against Denver a few weeks back. That being said, the chiefs don’t run away from anyone on the scoreboard. If it’s close enough for Carr to strike I like our chances even if I’d prefer it not come to that. BTW, in my opinion, with Gronk out these are the two best teams in the AFC. Neither should fear New England this post-season.
EVERY QB since 1990 has been 8-1 (maybe 50-1!) vs the Raiders. Means nothing anymore. One thing that wont change? Hypersensitive refs see and hear everything wrong with the Raiders. Defys logic that one team alone can sustain “most penaltys” in a league year after year. I think,it might not be the Raiders but maybe the league’s refs are simply biased.
No, the Raiders are inherently not the most disciplined group. And they have developed a reputation. They want to stop being penalized, stop committing bad penalties. Holding every now and then, those happen, but blatant penalties are avoidable.
That 8-1 record includes 3-0 from this year and last, when the Raiders are supposed to be a lot better team. Its not as if the 06 and 2010 niners teams were good.
Oh,get out of here,Yeah- “reputation” for what some group did in 1977 still on the whole team? You think that’s ok for highly paid refs to have the mindset of?
It even goes to the “tuck” rule..where NFL refs are so desperate to take wins from the team,they virtually threw the game. Its to the Raiders disgrace they have never gone to the league or been public.
For awhile it was unbelievable how EVERY Raiders big play…was called back. Holding,etc. For the last 13 years it was so obvious.
If the NFL refs looked at darlings New England just as hard….
The way to beat Alex and Andy is to flip the script.
I think we’re likely to see the same road grader approach we saw with Denver.
Long Drives…Keep Alex and Kelce on the sideline.
Goad KC into putting 8 in the box and try to pop a slant to Cooper or Roberts.
If they go with gunslinger Derek in this one…they’re gonna lose…
Problem is Oak doesn’t have the run game to support that.
They pulled it off week 9 in Denver…have faith brotha!!!
I don’t want faith, I’m in no way a fan.
As the head to head record suggests, this is a very bad match-up for the Raiders. Oakland starts slow too often and that’s death against a solid team like the Chiefs that rely on keeping the game close, getting slightly ahead and letting their defense and running game force a slow death. They just don’t make mistakes. They are the boa constrictors of the NFL. They are an irrelevant team in the AFC playoffs with that neanderthal offense as they’ll get shutdown by a great defense, a better defense than the Raiders possess. But on a short week on the road traveling two time zones away, the Raiders have almost no chance. No 4th quarter miracle tonight. If they have any chance at all, it’ll be because of a fast start….in other words, out of character. Good, but a very tough, test.
Btw– Townsend and Bill Romonowski were in shock over a Raiders stat- they lead the NFL in dropped passes. They also noted Crabtree’s play has dropped easy TD passes of late. Something to worry about they said.
They SAID WHAT I POSTED LAST WEEK HERE.
Nice to know I’m read too.
Lowell Cohn has been covering Bay Area sports for more than 30 years and he’s never run out of things to say.